California Mortgage News
Wednesday, January 03, 2007
NAR 2006 Prediction WRONG!
Back in December of 2005 the National Association of Realtors (NAR) made a woefully wrong prediction. Thanks to Business Week for finding this gem:

PREDICTION: The national median home price will rise about 6.1% in 2006. Over a full year, it "has never declined since good record-keeping began in 1968." — National Association of Realtors, Dec. 12, 2005

THE REALITY: Through October, the median price of residential properties was down 3.5% from a year earlier.

The NAR was way off on this prediction. The median price decline is even worse if you take into account all the extra incentives that have been thrown on new home buyers. Don't trust the National Association of Realtors. Remember, David 'the shill' Lereah works there!

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Wednesday, April 05, 2006
Housing Bubble Conflicting Data Released
Housing Bubble Conflicting Data Released

The housing market threw the world another curve on Thursday. After five straight months of declining sales of existing homes, a sixth dreary month was pretty generally expected. Instead the National Association of Realtors announced that February sales of previously-owned homes had jumped 5.2 percent from similar sales in January. This was the largest monthly increase in two years.

Wow, so much for the housing bubble bursting. All of the "experts" are wrong. The national love affair with real estate continues. NAR itself said that the encouraging report was a sign that the market was "stabilizing" and should "level out" in the months ahead.



Of course this jump in sales was preceded by six months of price declines. So eventually the market had to readjust remember NAR has a vested interest in keeping prices high and keeping people buying

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Monday, March 27, 2006
Housing Bubble Conflicting Data Released
Housing Bubble Conflicting Data Released

The housing market threw the world another curve on Thursday. After five straight months of declining sales of existing homes, a sixth dreary month was pretty generally expected. Instead the National Association of Realtors announced that February sales of previously-owned homes had jumped 5.2 percent from similar sales in January. This was the largest monthly increase in two years.

NAR itself said that the encouraging report was a sign that the market was "stabilizing" and should "level out" in the months ahead.


While that's NAR's position as head cheerleader, it's apparent the the 5 months of declining prices and lower interest rates had an impact on declining sales and finally some people bought.

Read the Report at Mortgage News Daily

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  Housing Bubble Conflicting Data Released 0 Comments
Tuesday, February 21, 2006
NAR Releases Monthly and Annual 2005 Existing Home
NAR Releases Monthly and Annual 2005 Existing Home Sale Numbers
Home sales are obviously beginning to slow, but records were still set during 2005 in both volume and value. Well it's important to remember that real estate bubbles, unlike stock bubbles have many things propping up prices. Real estate bubble almost always deflate rather than crash.

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  NAR Releases Monthly and Annual 2005 Existing Home 0 Comments
Wednesday, February 08, 2006
Expedia Founder tries his hand at real estate
"A decade ago, Richard Barton launched Expedia.com and helped transform the travel industry by handing consumers the same tools to book reservations that travel agents had long controlled.

Now, Barton is applying the same approach to real estate — and is banking on equally dramatic results."

Barton is hoping to disintermediate the real estate agents who for too long have had a monopoly over listings and commissions. That's free market enterprise in action. Barton has deep enough pockets that he can probably force NAR to compete.

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  Expedia Founder tries his hand at real estate 0 Comments
Covering the mortgage and real estate market in California. Find information on real estate, mortgage vendors and mortgage brokers.

Name: Brian DeSpain
Location: Las Vegas, New Mexico, United States

Writer, open source geek and general rastabout.

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